I will
attempt to synopsize these issues:
STATE BUDGET DEFICIT OF 10 BILLION DOLLARS
Ten years ago, November 1997 Pete Wilson was our
Republican Governor and the state population was 32.3 million and
the budget was 52.9 billion dollars. Today, ten years later,
November 2007, Arnold Schwarzenegger, Republican, is our state
Governor and our state population is 37.8 million and our state
budget is 102.3 billion dollars. Both of these Governors when first
elected faced a state budget deficit. Currently our budget is
confronted with a deficit of 9.8 billion dollars. The last four
months projected state revenues have fallen 1.1 billion dollars
below expectations. The State Legislative Analyst, Elizabeth Hill,
predicts a 3.8 billion dollar decrease in expected state revenue.
The present state shortfall of 9.8 billion dollars is more than we
spend on our state prisons annually. The cause of this is
attributed to the soft real estate and mortgage market, high costs
of oil, food and consumer goods. This resonates to all businesses
in California and the nation, in one way or another.
Local government witnessed an increase in property tax
in 2006 of 12% and predictions for 2007 are the same. The
projections for the 2009-2010 fiscal years are only a 3% increase.
Meanwhile, counties throughout California are faced with
re-assessing many properties with a decrease in assessed valuation
and the result is fewer tax dollars in the treasuries.
Various legislators have urged Governor Schwarzenegger
to call a special session to address the 9.8 billion dollar fiscal
crisis. When proposition 58 was passed several years ago to deal
with a similar state fiscal crisis it granted the Governor new
powers. One of those was the ability to call a special session of
the legislature. Another was the authority in mid-year to make
budget corrections. Thereafter the Governor must propose
legislation to correct the budget crisis, and if the legislature
does not approve his proposals. They are barred from acting on any
other legislative business or adjourning. All are faced with
resolving this dilemma by either cutting budget expenditures or
raising taxes. Republicans in the Legislature have vowed never to
raise taxes, therefore drastic cuts seem apparent. Who will
suffer? History teaches us the weak are usually the victims!
PRISON AND LOCAL JAIL OVERCROWDING & REHABILITATION
A little over six months ago the Governor signed a 7.9
billion dollar bond act to address the critical California prison
overcrowding to avoid the Federal Court “Master” of usurping the
states authority if they did not correct the problem. The
implementation of most of the provisions has been delayed due to
disagreements among the parties. On track are some prison beds and
the transfer of some prisoners to out of state facilities. Some
16,000 are still delayed and scaled back rehabilitation provisions.
Many local re-entry “mini prisons” are yet to start. The questions
of who will run these facilities are still unanswered. The
Governor’s pilot programs of the release of some 1,000 “low risk”
offenders to Orange County and San Bernardino County is occurring.
Thus far, 15 counties have signed preliminary agreements with the
State Department of Corrections; however no formal contracts have
been executed. One of the unanswered questions is who will operate
these facilities?
THE
“RUNNER” INITIATIVE – SAFE NEIGHBOR ACT
This act would appropriate one billion
dollars for local law enforcement from the General Fund for
anti-gang suppression; $300 million in new General Funds for local
police, another $600 million for local law enforcement, $250 million
for a global position system for “gang members”, (et al), $6 million
community policing projects, $6 million dollars for juvenile
prevention programs for $15 million dollars for safety education,
$10 million for victim programs, $10 million for reward monies.
Detractors of this proposal state its passage would
aggravate the present prison and jail overcrowding. They contend
what is really needed is a re-evaluation of our present criminal
sentencing system and special attention to the criminal laws passed
in the last 15 years. They also strongly advocate a “Sentencing
commission”. Confronted with a state budget deficit of 10 billion
dollars will the voters pass such a proposal?
THE
GOVERNORS COMMISSION ON PUBLIC EMPLOYEES BENEFITS
The Public Employee Post-employee Benefits Commission
is convening their next to last commission meeting today in San
Diego before their final report to the Governor due January 1,
2008. The final meeting is scheduled for December 13 in Los
Angeles. Their executive summary contains 38 recommendations and
time does not permit an in-depth presentation of the entire report.
A generalization of the major proposals is:
1.
Partial payments
of the potential liability of future employee benefits.
2.
Fund the entire
amount of liability.
3.
A hybrid using
option #1 with current employees and pay new employees benefits in
full.
Further
amending the present system by tightening loop-holes, fraud,
retirement “spiking” examining self-health insurance programs
(similar to Orange County employees and United Auto Workers). We
are hopeful that their proposals will be reasonable and not reduce
the hard earned benefits public employees have toiled for years to
receive.
S.B.1019 – ROMERO- LEGISLATION THE RELEASING OF PEACE OFFICERS
PERSONNEL RECORDS
Presently this regressive legislation is held in the
Assembly Public Safety Committee after “No Motion” for passage. The
Assembly Rules Committee, chaired by the Speaker of the Assembly
could ask the committee to re-hear the legislation. The fate of
this legislation very possibly could be dependent on the passage of
Proposition 93, the term limit proposal, to be voted on in the state
election February 2008. Several months ago this proposal was
enjoying a 59% approval rate by several polls. Recent polls have
shown in the past 3 months the approval rate has dropped 10%.
History has demonstrated that ballot initiatives must have a major
acceptance by polling prior to elections to have any chance of
passage. This change of acceptance bodes “defeat”. Polls have also
revealed a majority of Republicans support this initiative.
However, with the passage of Proposition 93 the Assembly Speaker and
President Pro Tem of the Senate (both Democrats) would extend their
terms to the year 2011.
In 2010 it is mandatory to redraw the lines of all
Senate, Assembly and congressional districts in California. Would
the Republicans leave the present Democratic leadership in power to
re-draw district lines? You may recall Governor Schwarzenegger has
stated, “Unless re-districting is proposed, he would oppose
Proposition 93 term limits”. This past Tuesday, December 3, 2007,
the Governor announced he was backing a re-districting state ballot
measure. Recently the State Insurance Commissioner, Steve Poizner
agreed to head the opposition to Proposition 93 and will commit a
large sum of his money to defeat this proposal. Additionally, the
powerful California Correctional Peace Officers (with a membership
of 31,000 and a P.A.C. of 10 million dollars) announced their
opposition and a pledge of 1 million dollars.
The latest profile of California registered voters has
shown that 20% are Independent voters, 43% Democrats and 34%
Republicans. All of these factors play a part in the “dynamics” of
what the future holds.
THE
“RICHMAN” PUBLIC EMPLOYEES PENSION AND HEALTH CARE REFORM INITIATIVE
Informed sources state he has failed in his attempt to
quality his initiative.
THE
ORANGE COUNTY BOARD OF SUPERVISORS LAWSUIT DECLARING THE 3% AT 50
DEPUTY’S EMPLOYMENT UNCONSTITUATIONAL
The latest on the Orange County Board of
Supervisors attempt to revoke 3% at 50 retirement benefits for
Orange County deputy sheriffs is as follows: The Orange County
Board of Supervisors has presently retained the 3rd law
firm from Chicago (Kirkland and Ellis) to advise them on whether the
contract granting retroactive compensation to Orange County Deputy
Sheriffs is constitutional. The rumors are the supervisors will
proceed with a lawsuit. Wayne Quint, President of the Orange County
Deputy Sheriff states the legal fees to them will be 1.5 million
dollars, plus costs if it proceeds through the system to the U.S.
Supreme Court.
HAWAII APPELLATE COURT DECISION PROBATION OFFICERS VIOLATION OF
FIRST AMENDMENT ACT.
The case has not been re-heard and several probation
departments in California have given guidelines to their probation
officers to advice probationers of their options regarding
rehabilitation programs.
Next year’s elections and the second half of the current
two year session, coupled with the fiscal deficit will offer
numerous challenges. I feel confident that our state and local
government leaders will lead us in preserving justice for all and
continue to improve our quality of life.
STAY
SAFE!